New NDIS eligibility rules will cut 240,000 participants from scheme in four years, documents reveal

Modelling predicts 241,000 people on the scheme before January 2028 won’t be receiving supports by mid-2031

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More than 240,000 participants are expected to be shifted off the national disability insurance scheme in the four years after new eligibility rules are introduced, internal documents reveal.

Newly released departmental modelling also shows proposed cuts to funding for social, civic and community participation will help achieve the single biggest saving of the measures the Albanese government is pursuing to contain the scheme’s ballooning growth.