More than HALF of Keir Starmer's Cabinet ministers set to lose their seats at a general election with 12 falling to Reform and three to the Greens

By GREG HEFFER, POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT Published: 09:46, 12 April 2026 | Updated: 09:57, 12 April 2026 More than half of Keir Starmer's Cabinet ministers would lose their seats if a general election was held today, a new poll has found. The More in Common survey found 16 out of the 22 Labour MPs who form the Prime Minister's top team would be kicked out of the House of Commons. Twelve of them would lose their seats to Reform UK, three would lose their seats to the Green Party, and one would lose to an independent, the research suggested. The MRP (Multilevel Regression with Post-stratification) poll was based on voting intention data from more than 15,000 Britons. It projected that, overall, Reform would win 324 seats at a general election - putting Nigel Farage's party far ahead of Labour (101 seats), the Tories (81), Liberal Democrats (62), SNP (26) and Greens (22). However, Reform's projected tally of seats is one short of a majority in the Commons and 57 seats fewer than in More in Common's previous model in January. The Greens currently only have five MPs but their recent surge in support under 'eco-populist' leader Zack Polanski has led to warnings Labour 'now faces a very real war on two fronts'. The findings will ring alarm bells for Sir Keir ahead of May's local elections, in which Labour faces a dismal set of results amid the twin threat of Reform and the Greens. A More in Common MRP poll projected Reform UK would win 324 seats - putting it far ahead of Labour (101 seats), the Tories (81), Liberal Democrats (62), SNP (26) and Greens (22) It also found 16 out of the 22 Labour MPs who form the Prime Minister's top team would be kicked out of the House of Commons Among those Cabinet ministers projected to lose their seats at a general election are Rachel Reeves, Yvette Cooper, John Healey, Lisa Nandy, Bridget Phillipson and Ed Miliband. They are all projected to lose to Reform UK, while Hilary Benn, Darren Jones and Peter Kyle are set to lose to Green candidates and Wes Streeting to an independent. David Lammy would just hang on to his Tottenham constituency against the Greens, while Angela Rayner - his predecessor as Deputy PM - would lose to Reform, the research found. Ahead of elections on 7 May for the Scottish Parliament, Welsh Senedd and English councils, More in Common found Labour is 'under siege' in its traditional strongholds. The MRP showed Labour losing in Welsh seats they have held for more than a century, while Sir Keir's party would hold just 46 of London's 75 seats. The Greens were projected to do well in parts of the capital, as well as in Bristol, Manchester and Sheffield. Luke Tryl, UK director of More in Common, warned there 'doesn't appear to be anything such as a safe seat' for Labour. He said: 'Labour may breathe a sigh of relief they are back above 100 seats in this latest projection, while Reform have slipped back and would now just sit on the cusp of a majority. 'But if anything what this latest model shows is that Labour, in a mirror of what faced the Tories in 2024, now faces a very real war on two fronts. 'Losing 100s of seats to Reform, while at the same time being threatened by Polanski's Greens in their former urban strongholds.' Reform's projected tally of seats is one short of a majority in the Commons and 57 seats fewer than in More in Common's previous model in January Mr Tryl added: 'For the Tories this is the second of our MRPs in a row where their seat total has climbed back, though they would still be heading for well under 100 seats.  'While the party appears to be stabilising and even regaining some ground in some of its more affluent Home Counties seats, at the same time struggling in their former Brexit voting heartlands of Essex and Lincolnshire, and Tory leader Kemi Badenoch could lose her seat to Reform on these numbers. 'Meanwhile Reform remain well over 200 seats clear of their closest challenger and the only party that could viably form a Government. 'But it is possible that the Donald Trump effect and some of their more high-profile controversies have alienated wavering voters. 'They will be hoping for a strong local election performance to give them a renewed burst of momentum.' 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