Friday's Best MLB Home Run Props Have Long Odds: Basallo And Lowe

LifestyleVicesFriday's Best MLB Home Run Props Have Long Odds: Basallo And LoweByJosh Shepardson,Contributor.Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Josh Shepardson is a sports betting analyst, focused on player props.Follow AuthorAug 21, 2026, 03:38am EDT--:-- / --:--This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more.Samuel Basallo has hit 16 home runs this year and can hit another homer tonight.Getty ImagesHome run props are prone to ups and downs because of their long-shot nature, and the second half of the season has been challenging for the home run bets. The touted home run bets have produced only two winners in the past 20 picks.Nevertheless, the season’s record sits at 20-77, with three no-bets, which has been good enough to generate $150 in profit for anyone who bet $100 on each of the suggested home run props at the listed odds. Gamblers don’t need many correct home run picks to generate a profit, but tonight’s picks will be the difference between remaining in the black or dipping into the red.Thankfully, Samuel Basallo and Nathaniel Lowe provide bettors with eye-catching odds to hit home runs in favorable matchups and homer-friendly ballparks tonight.Friday’s Best MLB Home Run PropsSamuel Basallo (Baltimore Orioles - C)Over 0.5 Home Runs (+519) at DraftKings SportsbookSamuel Basallo has hit 16 home runs in 88 games and 319 plate appearances this year. The 22-year-old catcher has hit 14 of his 16 home runs against right-handed pitching, 10 at home and eight at home against righties.MORE FOR YOUThe youngster’s batted-ball data is spectacular. Among 246 qualified batters in 2026, Basallo is tied for 31st in barrels per plate appearance rate (8.6%), tied for 30th in barrels per batted-ball event rate (13.2%), tied for 61st in hard-hit rate (45.6%), tied for 28th in fly-ball and line-drive exit velocity (96.1 mph), tied for 65th in maximum exit velocity (112.5 mph) and ti...